/ 5 min read / Reed Smith In-depth

Singapore’s National Hydrogen Strategy: can hydrogen propel Singapore to net-zero?

Authors

Anand Tiwari (Resource Law LLC)

Singapore is committed to achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, and hydrogen is a key plank of Singapore’s clean energy transition plans. According to Singapore’s National Hydrogen Strategy (NHS), hydrogen is outlined to account for at least half of Singapore’s entire fuel mix by 2050 (2050 Hydrogen Goal). In his recent speech at the Ministry of Trade and Industry’s (MTI) Committee of Supply Debate on 28 February 2023, the Second Minister for Trade and Industry, Mr Tan See Leng, re-emphasised the importance of hydrogen as a major decarbonisation pathway.

“MTI launched Singapore’s National Hydrogen Strategy which sets out plans to develop hydrogen as a major decarbonisation pathway for our power and industry sectors, to support Singapore’s commitment to achieve net-zero by 2050. Like LNG, hydrogen can be imported from various sources around the world, which enhances energy security and resilience. It is also a potential alternative to fossil fuels in the maritime and aviation sectors.

A key prong of our strategy is to experiment with the use of advanced hydrogen technologies on the cusp of commercial readiness. EMA (the Energy Market Authority) and MPA (the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore) have launched an expression of interest for utilizing ammonia for power generation and to support maritime bunkering needs. Since then, we have received strong interest from industry players as well as international partners.”

The combustion of hydrogen is entirely emission-free; the only byproduct is water. However, hydrogen is not a fully developed decarbonisation pathway yet. Technology relating to the production, distribution, storage and end-use of hydrogen is full of potential but still relatively nascent. Also, Singapore is largely restricted to being a net importer of hydrogen due to a limited land area, high urban density and a limited potential for renewable energy. As a result, Singapore could be adversely affected by any volatility in the production of hydrogen overseas and international cooperation in the trade of hydrogen.

Does the NHS stand up to these potential headwinds? In our view, the NHS is a commendable start but more needs to be done if Singapore is to achieve its 2050 Hydrogen Goal.

The Holy Grail

The 2050 Hydrogen Goal is Singapore’s “Holy Grail”, and is essential to Singapore achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. In order to achieve the 2050 Hydrogen Goal, the NHS broadly targets the adoption of hydrogen across the power generation, industry, maritime, aviation and land transport sectors. Together, these sectors account for 97.9 per cent of Singapore’s current greenhouse gas emissions.

The NHS focuses on:

  1. Experimenting with the use of advanced hydrogen technologies at the cusp of commercial readiness through pathfinder projects. Singapore will be experimenting with advanced hydrogen technologies in an incremental manner and will start with pathfinder projects in ammonia power generation and maritime bunkering. The EMA and MPA have launched an expression of interest process to build, own and operate low or zero-carbon power generation and bunkering projects on Jurong Island. Proposals are due by the end of April 2023. On an international level, the MPA and Jurong Port have also joined the multinational Castor Initiative to ensure and support the complete ecosystem required for ammonia-fuelled tankers to operate sustainably and safely.
  2. Investing in research and development to unlock key technological bottlenecks. Research and development (R&D) efforts will be organised around being able to import, store, handle and utilise hydrogen (and all carrier forms deemed suitable for Singapore) safely, economically and at scale. This will include technologies relating to improving the process of liberating hydrogen, improving the economics of transporting and storing liquefied hydrogen, utilising hydrogen in sector applications and managing hydrogen and ammonia deployment safely.
  3. Pursuing international collaborations to enable supply chains for low-carbon hydrogen. The NHS also envisions Singapore working closely with industry and international partners to enable the formation and scaling up of supply chains for low-carbon hydrogen. Such efforts include advancing the development of Guarantee of Origin certification methodologies, ensuring that methodologies are interoperable across jurisdictions, and building a trading and financing ecosystem to facilitate global trade of low-carbon hydrogen.
  4. Undertaking long-term land and infrastructure planning as well as supporting workforce training and development of our broader economy. In the future, Singapore will also develop the land and infrastructure needed to import, store, distribute and transform hydrogen into power, and pace the implementation of such developments incrementally in accordance with safety concerns, technological developments and costs. At the same time, the NHS strives to ensure that all Singaporeans can share in the opportunities presented by the hydrogen economy by encouraging workers to develop and equip themselves with the necessary skills.

A step in the right direction

Taking a pragmatic view of Singapore’s unique circumstances, the necessity of international cooperation to facilitate the global trade of hydrogen and the present state of technological developments, the NHS provides a firm foothold for Singapore to pursue its 2050 Hydrogen Goal.

Due to a limited land area, high urban density and limited potential for producing renewable energy locally, it is not presently feasible for Singapore to produce hydrogen locally. It is therefore prudent that Singapore commits to being a net importer of hydrogen instead.

As a net importer, Singapore will be dependent on international hydrogen supply chains and the production of hydrogen overseas. However, there are presently no international standards or universal methodologies for determining the greenhouse gas emissions of hydrogen production. As a result, various countries have adopted differing regulations for hydrogen which could potentially skew producers towards cheaper, more carbon-intensive hydrogen production methods for low-cost export to regions with lenient or no regulations, leaving little supply for countries with more stringent regulations. International cooperation is therefore necessary to harmonise global hydrogen regulations and facilitate international trade in hydrogen. It remains to be seen if Singapore, which regularly punches above its weight in international affairs, can advance the development of globally harmonised regulations to measure the greenhouse gas emissions of hydrogen production.

Technology relating to the import, storage, handling and utilisation of hydrogen is still relatively nascent. By leveraging on its unique position as a net importer of hydrogen, strong R&D ecosystem, ability to attract investments from technology companies and dense urban grid, Singapore can develop large-scale test-beds to test different technologies together and assess how they interoperate in the grid. The Low-Carbon Energy Research (LCER) Funding Initiative (FI) is the primary weapon in Singapore’s R&D arsenal. As part of the first phase of the LCER FI, Singapore has awarded S$55 million to projects in areas such as the development of catalysts for ammonia cracking and methane pyrolysis. An additional S$129 million has been earmarked for the second phase of the LCER FI.

The NHS does not go far enough

The NHS sets the stage for Singapore to pursue its 2050 Hydrogen Goal by playing to Singapore’s strengths and focusing on international cooperation and R&D. However, the NHS, which is Singapore’s only hydrogen strategy to date, does not provide a detailed plan to achieve Singapore’s 2050 Hydrogen Goal. To encourage investment, there needs to be a detailed plan which includes, at the very least, concrete targets, demand-creation and investment risk mitigation policies to unlock hydrogen adoption, and consolidation of local regulatory frameworks.

Concrete targets are essential for clarifying priorities and measuring progress. However, the NHS has no concrete targets for the import, storage, distribution and utilisation of hydrogen. Whilst this could be due to the incremental approach of Singapore’s hydrogen strategy, other countries such as Korea also face similar challenges, such as the high cost of investment in hydrogen infrastructure and uncertainties surrounding the technological and supply chain development of hydrogen, but have been able to set concrete hydrogen import targets. There is no reason why the NHS cannot set such concrete targets as well.

Demand-creation policies to unlock hydrogen adoption across the power generation, industry and transport sectors are necessary given that only 0.04 per cent of global hydrogen demand (around 40 kilotonnes) is presently for applications across these sectors. Investment risk mitigation policies are equally necessary given that only 4 per cent of hydrogen production projects announced worldwide have reached a final investment decision due to the associated technological and economic risks.

The NHS lacks both demand-creation and investment risk mitigation policies. Demand-creation policies can help project developers secure off-takers, which in turn unlocks investment in production assets, scales up production, reduces costs and sparks innovation. Investment risk mitigation policies can help boost production capacity, infrastructure development and equipment manufacturing capacity to pave the way for future projects until hydrogen supply chains can transition from relying on public to private capital.

Demand-creation policies could take the form of quotas for the use of low-carbon hydrogen (such as in India and several European Union member states), low-carbon fuel standards or renewable transport obligations (such as those which are already in place in Canada, the United Kingdom and California) and purchase subsidies or tax benefits (such as those in place in France and Denmark). An example of an investment risk mitigation policy is a contract for difference, such as the H2Global Initiative in Germany, which compensates the difference between supply prices and demand prices with funding from the government.

The next steps in Singapore’s hydrogen journey

As Lao Tzu, the famous Chinese philosopher, once said, “The journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step”.

Singapore’s hydrogen journey has only just begun. The NHS is a step in the right direction, with its focus on international cooperation and R&D. However, if meaningful progress is to be made towards Singapore’s 2050 Hydrogen Goal, further steps have to be taken.

These steps should include setting concrete targets for the import, storage, distribution and utilisation of hydrogen against which progress can be measured, introducing policies to stimulate demand and encourage the adoption of hydrogen across the power generation, industry and transport sectors, introducing policies to mitigate investment risks and encourage businesses to invest in hydrogen infrastructure, and consolidating the local regulatory frameworks relating to hydrogen into a single comprehensive legislation.

That being said, Singapore is not alone on its hydrogen journey. Given its likely position as a net importer of hydrogen, it is crucial that Singapore continues to work in tandem with like-minded international and industry partners, such as the Asia Zero Emission Community, to develop global hydrogen supply chains and facilitate global trade in hydrogen while concurrently taking steps to bolster the domestic hydrogen economy.

Reed Smith LLP is licensed to operate as a foreign law practice in Singapore under the name and style, Reed Smith Pte Ltd (hereafter collectively, "Reed Smith"). Where advice on Singapore law is required, we will refer the matter to and work with Reed Smith's Formal Law Alliance partner in Singapore, Resource Law LLC, where necessary.

In-depth 2023-100

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